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Welcome to Skyepony's Weather Blog.
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 Cyclone Blake intensifies just off the Coast of Western Australia•Jan 6, 2020
Outback Outlaw Outback Outlaw takes you on a quick spin down to the beach to show you the Storm as it brews, intensifying, it’s just off the coast of where we are right now, some trees have fallen down and there is some significant road damage in the community. Stay tuned, some more vids coming your way.
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Calvinia had a good run of it, reaching 70kts, hitting Mauritius and affecting Reunion. As it weakened 12/31/2019 23:30Z, it went from a look of what ever...  ...to down right frightening as shear and cold water killed it. You can almost see it's spirit depart in the upper levels from it's skull faced demise 01/01/2020 23:35Z.  A bit more peaceful was the videos of beautiful waterfalls set to music that resulted.. Réunion Island 974 Recorded several waterfalls raging on the St Jo River, from the rains of Calvinia, in Langevin. Here are a few. The local news had Cyclone Calvinia raining on people as they went through their day with flooding in places, some large downed trees, farmers eyeing their fields, passengers stranded at an airport, street flooding and snarled electrical lines causing outages. TéléPlus
All the latest news from Mauritius live: live news, politics, economy, news, society, dossier, horse racing, shock videos, scandal and people. Hurricane Hunters Wrap Up Season Hurricane Hunters with the 53rd WRS wrapped up the hurricane half of the year with an article reflecting on the 2019 Season. They flew in Andrea, Barry, Dorian, Fernand, Humberto, Jerry, Karen, Lorena, Nestor and Olga. Flying more than 684 hours, totaling 80 missions into tropical storms over the Atlantic and East Pacific. The aspects that made 2019 challenging was the number of storms that threatened Bermuda and how that is a more difficult area to fly out to. The other big challenge was Dorian. They flew in that storm for 10 days from three different bases, depending on which was closest, Curaçao, Homestead (Air Reserve Base, Florida), and Keesler (AFB). Quoting Gautrau, “September was nonstop for the unit operations continuously going on, Hurricane Dorian was very slow moving system that was daunting on our operations and maintenance who were constantly generating aircraft to support.” With Hurricane season done they are off to fly Winter Storms.  Inside the eye of Hurricane Dorian during a Hurricane Hunters mission Sep. 2, 2019. The 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron, an Air Force Reserve unit located at Keesler Air Force Base, Mississippi., gathered weather information from inside Dorian. The data they gather is used by the National Hurricane Center for their forecasts. (U.S. Air Force photo by U.S. Navy Midshipman First Class Julia Von Fecht) And Winter is Here  Bringing in Meteorological Winter is this low that has moved into the Atlantic. Behind it is a sweep of cold air descending even through Florida. Lows in the mid to upper 30s expected in some areas in North and Central Florida.  This winter storm dumped plenty on the Northeast and Canada with a few areas receiving 20-22inches. Snow depth Map from NOHRSC is here.
The King Tides have returned. They began today, November 25th and should last through November 28th in the Southeast.
Flooding from seasonal king tides impacting businesses in Hollywood
•Nov 18, 2019 WPLG Local 10 Rising water levels due to king tides affected several popular Broward areas Monday afternoon. Causes of the increased flooding with King Tides due to the lunar gravitational pull and is compounded by sea level rise and a decrease in the Gulf Stream current. The Gulf Stream has slowed considerably this week. The current normally draws water away from the southeast coast. When it slows the sea level quickly responds with a sudden rise. 
NOAA's Global RTOFS showing the Gulf Stream current in meters per second.
The forecast has the Gulf Stream at it's lowest on November 27th. Other Areas Expecting Floods from the King Tides The King Tides are expected to affect the West Coast in conjunction with an incoming low that is expected to bomb as it makes landfall. A surge up to 7ft is forecast.
King tides could lead to flooding ahead of Thanksgiving storm•Nov 25, 2019
ABC 10 News As a storm heads towards San Diego, residents in coastal communities are bracing for king tides and possible flooding.
For all the area King Tides text bulletins issued from NOAA check here.
Despite two inches of rain Cold Mountain Fire burns on. Firefighters are in the area protecting structures and communities. Being in a wilderness area it was determined Friday that as little would be done as possible to impact Shinning Rock Wilderness with fire lines, air drops and things that could affect the natural outcome of this event or the land, streams & forest in general. Shinning Rock Wilderness remains closed. Smoke is expected to linger in the area and is currently evident on radar. The forecast is fairly dry with a little rain likely Wednesday and next weekend, maybe snow showers the following Monday. In flooding news Venice is flooding again and expected to do so over and over again this coming week. France was hit hard as another low has formed in the area.
Shinning Rock Wilderness, located in Pisgah Forest, about 35miles from Asheville, North Carolina is closed due to a wildfire. This closure includes all the trails in that area. Fire has grown to 126 acres today. It began on Cold Mountain around 3:00p. The same mountain featured in Charles Frazier's award winning book about a Confederate solider. The forest service is asking that people do not fly drones in the area.
The wild fire is near residential homes and private property. Smoky conditions are expected throughout the night. Rain is moving into the area and hopefully will give firefighters the advantage.
Below is real time radar from Wunderground.  As of 11:00 PM AST Thu Nov 21...SEBASTIEN MOVING FASTER WITH NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY... Location: 24.7°N 57.8°W Moving: NE at 18 mph Min pressure: 999 mb Max sustained: 60 mph NHC As the southern tip of the cold front that has now caught up Sebastien, crossed over Haiti, some flooding occurred.
Sebastien Forms Sebastien has pulled together out in the Atlantic, just NE of the Leeward Islands. It is expected to re-curve over the next day and stay out at sea. Though he suffers from sheer and has a mid-latitude trough coming for him, he is expected to strengthen due to good divergence aloft before his demise. NHC has Sebastien peaking at 60-65kts as it goes extra-tropical in about 48hrs. Wouldn't be surprised if he strengthened to a hurricane before the cold front and cooler waters temper and absorb Sebastien.  Earthquakes have been on the rise the last two days With a few 5s yesterday, one in India and this one below in the Philippines. Earthquakes seemed to settle down a little til about 6 hours ago. Argentina was hit by two 5s followed by Chiapas, Mexico have three 6 plus magnitude shakes. BUKIDNON PHILIPPINES EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE 5.9•Nov 19, 2019
Yazzi Renolla A MAGNITUDE 5.9 WAS FELT IN BUKIDNON PHILIPPINES NOVEMBER 18, 2019 Tropical Storm Raymond Putting on a Scary Face for Mexico
Looking a little like a human skull on a fish body we now have Tropical Storm Raymond in the East Pacific. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RAYMOND. He is forecast to strengthen to about 60kts in the short term as he tracks NNW. Then should slow down and gradually weaken.
Venice Floods Second Time in a Week
High tide today in Venice brought it's second severe flooding event this week. This morning it came out in social media that Tuesday evening the chambers of the Veneto Regional Council in Venice, Italy was overcome by flood waters for the first time in history just minutes after the majority League, Brothers of Italy and Forza Italia failed to change the amendments to recognize and combat climate change.
Venice isn't the only place flooding in that region. The United Kingdom has suffered it's wettest summer in some spots and it has yet to relent. After heavy rain fell all week and more now expected this weekend, the historic town of Stratford-on-Avon is taking action to save history surrounding William Shakespeare, including the Royal Shakespeare Theatre which is located on the banks of the Avon River as well as his funerary monument nearby.
UK weather: 1,200 homes evacuated due to floods and temperatures set to drop
•Nov 15, 2019 The Telegraph More than 100 flood warnings remain in place across the UK with further rain forecast across the weekend.
Bonus Link: Sew True %60 off end of season seed sale. Just cooling off enough in Florida to plant some of these.
Rain For the Southeast  No organized thunderstorms are expected with this mass of moisture over the Southeast. Planted some winter fare in front of the rain at the full moon: snow peas, lettuce, swiss chard and kohlrabi. Fengshen  Fengshen is affecting the Northern Mariana Islands. The storm is expected to head farther north and then may travel is a smaller loop. It currently appears stronger than forecast. Why NASA is sending rockets into Earth’s leaky atmosphere•Nov 14, 2019
NASA Goddard NASA scientists are seeking a strange breed of northern lights in the Arctic. When these auroras shine, Earth’s atmosphere leaks into space. Bonus Link Follow Sailing La Vagabonde and Greta on her adventure back across the Atlantic. |
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