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A site to check out storms. A place to check for invests MIT storm forecast & intensity models
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Dragon Point is getting a New Dragon / Debbie to Drown Brisbane Next

3/31/2017

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At the southern tip of Merritt Island, Florida is a place called Dragon Point.  It can easily be seen from the Eau Gallie Causeway Bridge.  There once lived a dragon named Annie and her just hatching offspring til a severe storm hit her in 2002 and then vandals finished her off.  The property fell on hard times.  Melbourne had Renaissance Fairs trying to save her but ultimately she was bought up.  And now the new owners have decided to tear down and rebuild both a dragon and a mansion..
The new, two headed dragon design. Florida Today

Cyclone Debbie remains are coming down in a drenching rain..Authorities on Friday told almost 20,000 people to evacuate to higher ground as driving rain in hinterland and coastal areas either side of the Queensland state capital, Brisbane, swelled rivers to record heights across the region.

"We have everything happening, we've got people on rooftops, we've had people stuck in vans, it's a disaster, an utter disaster," New South Wales State Emergency Services Controller Ian Leckie told Australian Broadcasting Corporation radio.

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Watching Cyclone Debbie & Testing

3/29/2017

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13P Debbie

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Possible March Atlantic Storm, 12S Caleb & 13P Debbie

3/24/2017

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Possible storm pulling together early next week in the Atlantic.  NASA's GEOS-5 is calling for some rain for the islands over the weekend.  Then the baroclinic storm gets sheared and swept Northeast away from land.
90L Forms
Nasa's GEOS-5 model barely gets firing from the surface when shear for the Southeast sets in. Falters, elongates and begins firing from the surface again but by then much farther north. As of Sunday there is no recon scheduled to fly 90L. GFS phase diagram showing 90L about as warm core currently as it is forecast to get. From here gfs eventually goes more subtropical then cold core. CMC keeps it a shallow warm storm for longer.
90L
12S CALEB
13P DEBBIE



92S
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Peru Flood Continues as 91W Reaches Philippines

3/20/2017

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Death toll in Peru is now 75.  99,475 Peruvians have lost there homes while 626,928 have suffered some sort of lesser home damage from the onslaught of relentless rain.  On Saturday the center of Trujillo was overcome by a torrent of water.  Lima is having issues with clean water and was mostly inundated, as was Huarmey.  Transportation has been severally disrupted as bridges have washed out.  Weeks more of flooding is expected.
91W
99S
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Peru Floods Badly

3/17/2017

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Peru has been hit again by heavy rains as Region 1, 2 of the East Pacific Ocean has warmed considerably with a possible coming El Nino later this year.   Since January 1st, 62 people have died and 12,000 homes have been destroyed.  Many have had miraculous escapes from floods and landslides. The warm pool of water and excessive rain is expected to continue for at least the next 2 weeks.  School is closed nationwide.  President Pedro Pablo Kuczynski said authorities were prepared to shelter those made homeless by this event.
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Madagascar Vanilla Crop Affected

3/16/2017

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Enawo not only caused at least 78 deaths, it devastated the Vanilla industry.  It's estimated that 30% of the crop was damaged in Madagascar, where 3/4 of the world supply of vanilla is produced.   The rain there continues as 98S dissipates.

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