Using NASA's GMAO Sub-Season Project forecast for a glance at the possible weather ahead.
Below is both the precipitation anomaly for North America and the entire globe. The rains in the Midwest and Southeast may intensify through September with a drier Winter to follow. Globally the rain chances have increased since the June run over the East Pacific as have the rains around the Philippines. Caribbean still looks drier with more moisture along the East Coast of the United States and less in the Gulf of Mexico for the next few months.
Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly
Sea Surface Temps overall are projected to be warm. This model is signalling neutral to La Nina conditions onset in August, pretty rapid. Warms the Atlantic ocean and continues to accentuate the areas of extreme heat offshore a bit to the east of land, around 50N and 50S. Late hurricane season the East Coast is looking vulnerable.
Atmospheric Temperature Anomaly
Below is the 2 meter high Temperature anomaly. Don't like the look of this at all. That sort of heat would cause extreme melting of the Arctic with less recovery over winter. We have a chance of breaking the 2012 Arctic sea ice minimum record this year. This does reflect that trend of warmer winters. Shows a chance of a reprieve for Alaska, especially next winter. Little far out on this model to get hope up except that pattern should break at some point.
Sea Ice Forecast for September
Sea ice concentration forecast overall looks grim unless you have plans for cruising or drilling oil in this once frozen area of the earth. Huge melt expected. This is the forecast for September.
Current Tropics and Weather News..
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