Looking ahead here using NASA's GMAO S2S seasonal model. Fall is on and for North America enjoy the cold now because the forecast has been getting hotter for winter with perhaps a weak reprieve for the west half in January. The effects of El Nino are fading fast as the consequences of climate change are showing more.
Figure 1. The Temperature Anomaly 2 meters above the earth for North America.
Globally the patches of cooler air at the poles may warm after October. November and December look particularly warm for the Arctic with only Greenland remaining near average. India stays cooler til the end of winter as does parts of Asia
Figure 2. The global Temperature Anomaly by month, 2 meters above ground.
This looks like a dry fall and winter for the southeast, most of which is already Abnormally Dry with some spots coming in D3 or Extreme Drought. There is hope for a pattern change and reprieve in January but quickly reverses to tease a bad spring fire season. A memorable fire season somewhere in the south is typical the spring after El Nino dissipates. The West Coast may see a dry winter with some rain on either side. Late winter and spring may bring a lot of precipitation back to the Midwest.
Figure 3. Precipitation Anomaly by month for North America.
Global Precipitation Anomaly doesn't appear too extreme anywhere except for Southeastern Asia, looks really dry. India's floods may continue to some extent through December. Europe overall looks like it is in for a wet winter, except the extreme west shore. Individual regions can be selected here.
Current ENSO conditions are neutral with a ~75% chance to stay neutral for Fall and ~50-65% chance of remaining neutral through Winter according to NOAA. NASA's GMAO S2S model is indicating a continued progression toward LA Nina with the below normal equatorial Sea Surface Temperatures dropping to La Nina conditions and continuing through the spring. Currently the T-Depth Anomaly is a clash of colors/temperatures with larger variations from week to week. Region 3.4 has shot up to 0.5 this week. This is partly due to the beautiful Instability waves of cold water being drawn up from the west coast of South America.
Figure 4. Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly
With the North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures expected to stay warmer than normal going into winter and the Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential remaining, hurricane season doesn't look over. MJO is coming back around. May even see some tropical activity this coming week in the Atlantic. Models are scattered about weaker and subtropical storms with a possible strong seasonal sort of storm coming out of the Caribbean in a few weeks.