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Labor Day Storm Panic 2018

8/30/2018

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With Labor Day so close and the models showing storms ahead people seem particularly nervous this year after the assault of storms in the last two years.  Looking around the Space Coast of Florida the fears look justified with at least a few blue tarped roofs in most neighborhoods, occasional business signs still blown out and general disrepair in some areas hit hard last year.

The Atlantic tropics are coming back to life too. 
A storm is rolling off Africa that looks like it should pull together as it couples up with the Atlantic.  It has been declared as Tropical Depression Six.  Looks like it may become a hurricane, probably affect the Southern Cabo Verde Islands.  Getting harder to tell what it will do after that.  A few models take it on a long adventure over much of the Atlantic.

There is also a waves to watch approaching Cuba that could potentially effect Florida, Louisiana or Texas.  Below is the current Two-Day Tropical Outlook from National Weather Service.
Compared to some years it's not looking too bad for our somewhat typical holiday weekend of hurricane activity.  The storm trying to form from the tropical wave near Hispanola, doesn't have much model support to become something stronger but looks gamely.  Maybe good to prepare for heavy precipitation in Cuba, Florida and along the gulf coast, including Texas.
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Tropics Alive 8/15/18

8/15/2018

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Tropics are alive across the Northern Hemisphere.  The West Pacific is leading the way with three invests and four cyclones.  22W Soulik is the newest storm, it may hit southern Japan.  Hector is the oldest and a shadow of it's former structure.  21W.RUMBIA20W.BEBINCA&19W.LEEPI  are all affecting land.  Lane is in the Eastern Pacific and may come near Hawaii.

Below is self updating graphics for the Atlantic.  Subtropical Ernesto was named today.  A wave from Africa has pulled together enough today to be designated 99L.  Models have it going through the Caribbean or running into South America.  Some intensity models have it as a Category Two storm in four to five days.

99L

GOES-East 4 km VIS/IR2 Floater 2 RAMMB Pop-up Loop

Yagi Dumps on Philippines

Typhoon Yagi displaced 60,000 with flooding north of Luzon, in the Philippines, mostly avoided Taiwan and then hit just south of Shanghai where three were killed from a falling sign. 
Terrible footages of Yagi Typhoon in Philippines - August 2018 Sahrab Nabiyev
Published on Aug 12, 2018Typhoon Yagi forces THOUSANDS to evacuate as Philippines DECIMATED by floods
TYPHOON Yagi has forced thousands of people in the Philippines to evacuate their homes as large parts of the country were quickly decimated by flash flooding.
Marina Mayor M

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Flooding in Pennsylvania and New Jersey

8/13/2018

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After another weekend of a stuck weather pattern and more rain for the North East, parts became overwhelmed with water.  Various people were stranded including a bride.  Rescues were carried out from rooftops to cars.  Emergency official are saying this is worse and has damaged more buildings than the previous flood three weeks ago.  Schuylkill and Columbia counties have had numerous reports of over six inches of rain.  At one point 150 rafters were missing but have since been accounted for.
Heavy rains prompt flood emergencies in Pennsylvania and New Jersey CBS Evening News
Published on Aug 13, 2018Millions of people on the East Coast are threatened by dangerous weather. Heavy rain has already triggered flash flooding in parts of New Jersey and Pennsylvania. Don Dahler reports.

Embed a few Lackawanna river gauges from in and around Sranton, PA. Refresh page for current levels.



More rain is expected in the area. Below is the expected rain fall amounts for Day 1-2.

Stunning amounts of #rain this summer has left much of the Mid-Atlantic running 1 to 2 FEET above normal... just in the past 60 days!
Now, the past 72 hrs delivered even more drenching, #flood producing rainfall of 3, 5, 7, even 8 inches... so far. pic.twitter.com/EvghmkAGHD

— NWS MARFC (@NWSMARFC) August 13, 2018
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Pakistan Glacier Bursts Melt On Badswat

8/6/2018

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The many glaciers in Northern Pakistan are feeling the heat of climate change.  One in the Gilgit-Baltistan province burst with melt sending a torrent of water through Badswat village.  Homes, roads, bridges, crops and forests were swept away.  The village was evacuated in time by the authorities and is reported that no one died.  A local, Baz told the Thomson Reuters Foundation, "Surrounded by mountains and muddy water, it seems we are living between life and death,".  This is the first time in living memory that one of the glaciers in that area has had such an outburst of melt.
Glacier melt flow due to climate change in ishkoman valley gilgit baltistan pakistna.
Environmentalist world
Published on Jul 30, 2018Climate change environmental problem in gilgit baltistan , pakistan

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