If the NASA GMAO Forecast Verifies, the Arctic Burns This Fall
It is pretty far out in time but disturbing to see, all that deep red over the Arctic. It's extreme southern counter part looks alarming as well with warm anomalies over Eastern Antarctica and what is most likely cold melt water/ice causing the sharp cooler anomalies just offshore.
It has La Nina holding on thru June. With ESPI falling again recently La Nina conditions looks pretty certain thru at least May. The next few months overall look less extreme but a little on the warm side.
Precipitation Maybe Less Extreme
The precipitation forecast looks overall a little less extreme than some recent years with larger anomalies over the Pacific Ocean. Hints to be a heavy monsoon year for Bay of Bengal and Philippines may see closer to their normal numbers of cyclones. Note that these too graphics have far different anomaly amounts for the colors.
Cyclone Hola has been small yet powerful. It's been traipsing islands leaving flooding and wind damage. It may affect New Zealand next.
Cyclone Hola 10/03/18 Tiga. (images Paul Sailuegeje)
Nouvelle-Calédonie la 1ère
Published on Mar 9, 2018