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Figure 1: Near Real Time IR of Laura from College of Dupage, Nexlab. Figure 2. Real time National Hurricane Center Key Messages. One of the more deadly expected effects from Laura to the Northern Gulf Coast is high storm surge. Evacuation orders in flood prone areas should be followed. Figure 3. NHC Experimental Peak Surge Graphic. Figure 4. Wunderground Nexrad Radar. Refresh page or revisit to see the latest of these first four images.
Figure 5. A growing slide show of saved Laura images.
Wundercams
codyneilCAM1 Crystal Beach, TX
ChesterCamCAM3 Seabrook, TX jlp09550CAM1 Abbeville, LA K4QALCAM1 Slidell, LA GHerosCAM1 New Orleans, LA Refresh for latest web views. If a cam isn't working, it's most likely lost power. Live webcam in Lake Charles Live Galveston Seawall Live Storm Chasing Laura Left Damage in Cuba
Cuba had a covid complicated storm as normal evacuation procedures were hampered by keeping people safe from the pandemic. The capital city is still on lock down while the rest of the country was just returning to the new normal. Evacuation went as usual with the addition of masks, hand sanitizer and less shelter capacity in an attempt to shelter the masses in a less huddled manor.
Heavy rain and wind was felt across all of Cuba, some trees and power-lines fell. The shoreline both north and south had damage from flooding and waves. Much of the eastern Cuban town of Baracoa sustained damage to buildings and homes along the seafront. Two fires occurred from Laura, one at a school, the other at a poultry farm. The video below captures some of this and a partial building collapse where people were sheltering.
Comments
Above is a growing Marco and Laura slide show. ...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND MARCO HAS WEAKENED... ...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... Max wind speeds are 70mph. Moving NNW at 12mph. It is forecast to slow down and move west into Louisiana. There is a lot of divergence and disagreeing between the models for both storms. Models have handled Marco a little better. HWRF is the model with least average error so far for Marco. Some of the better preforming models over 5 days on Laura are the UKMET & LGEM. Surge maybe worse for Laura. Sabine Pass, TX is forecast for 8 1/2ft storm surge. Wouldn't be surprised to see Marco land a little east of forecast and Laura to head a little south. Flooding in Hispaniola from Laura has been devastating. At least 9 died in Haiti and 3 in the Dominican Republic.
Laura struggles on with structure but maintains some convection. Portions of the Leeward Islands can expect Tropical Storm conditions Cone has shifted south a bit.
A look at model performance on Laura has UKMET on top for the three day average. These are top three that have made a storm forecast for Laura that have been running daily for at least three days. Model error in nm: model 1 day 2day 3 day UKMET 79.1 125 110.6 CEMI 74.9 69.9 136.9 TABS 90 115.9 115.8 OFCL now has one 24hr forecast with an error of 67.2nm. It and the top two models also beat out the ECMWF global model which had 83.2nm of error. Lot of uncertainty in play... 13L Laura
14L Marco
14L at times has showed a quick gather of structure but struggles with land, dry air and general lack of convection. It has slowed it's forward speed to 12kts and is maintaining a wind speed of 30kts with gusts to 40kts..
This is a fairly dynamic and hard to predict storm outcome. Either could grow stronger, draw in and devour the other. Marco has structure, Laura has convection. There has been some model runs that make this into one giant circulation. They are both weak and it is more likely they slosh into the gulf one after the other, maybe do a quick dance. It is the current solution, with 14L being favored as a little stronger.
Images note: All the images up to this point including the Key Messages but excluding the Tropical Depression 14 slide show, updates when the page is refreshed.
Global Tropics
Wunderground Community on the Move
The comments on Wunderground are gone.. We are flying the coop to YCC. The commenting section there is different but we are figuring it out. There will be an upgrade there sometime this Fall. Here is the link to Eye on the Storm section, just select the latest blog. Give it a try. Many are still posting on the last blog comment section for WU on the disqus mirror site. We don't know how long that might last.
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