The King Tides have returned. They began today, November 25th and should last through November 28th in the Southeast.
Flooding from seasonal king tides impacting businesses in Hollywood
•Nov 18, 2019
WPLG Local 10
Rising water levels due to king tides affected several popular Broward areas Monday afternoon.
Causes of the increased flooding with King Tides due to the lunar gravitational pull and is compounded by sea level rise and a decrease in the Gulf Stream current.
The Gulf Stream has slowed considerably this week. The current normally draws water away from the southeast coast. When it slows the sea level quickly responds with a sudden rise.
NOAA's Global RTOFS showing the Gulf Stream current in meters per second.
The forecast has the Gulf Stream at it's lowest on November 27th.
Other Areas Expecting Floods from the King Tides
The King Tides are expected to affect the West Coast in conjunction with an incoming low that is expected to bomb as it makes landfall. A surge up to 7ft is forecast.
King tides could lead to flooding ahead of Thanksgiving storm•Nov 25, 2019
ABC 10 News
As a storm heads towards San Diego, residents in coastal communities are bracing for king tides and possible flooding.
For all the area King Tides text bulletins issued from NOAA check here.
Despite two inches of rain Cold Mountain Fire burns on. Firefighters are in the area protecting structures and communities. Being in a wilderness area it was determined Friday that as little would be done as possible to impact Shinning Rock Wilderness with fire lines, air drops and things that could affect the natural outcome of this event or the land, streams & forest in general. Shinning Rock Wilderness remains closed. Smoke is expected to linger in the area and is currently evident on radar. The forecast is fairly dry with a little rain likely Wednesday and next weekend, maybe snow showers the following Monday.
In flooding news Venice is flooding again and expected to do so over and over again this coming week.
France was hit hard as another low has formed in the area.
Shinning Rock Wilderness, located in Pisgah Forest, about 35miles from Asheville, North Carolina is closed due to a wildfire. This closure includes all the trails in that area. Fire has grown to 126 acres today. It began on Cold Mountain around 3:00p. The same mountain featured in Charles Frazier's award winning book about a Confederate solider. The forest service is asking that people do not fly drones in the area.
The wild fire is near residential homes and private property. Smoky conditions are expected throughout the night. Rain is moving into the area and hopefully will give firefighters the advantage.
Below is real time radar from Wunderground.
As of 11:00 PM AST Thu Nov 21...SEBASTIEN MOVING FASTER WITH NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY...
Location: 24.7°N 57.8°W
Moving: NE at 18 mph
Min pressure: 999 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
As the southern tip of the cold front that has now caught up Sebastien, crossed over Haiti, some flooding occurred.
Sebastien has pulled together out in the Atlantic, just NE of the Leeward Islands. It is expected to re-curve over the next day and stay out at sea. Though he suffers from sheer and has a mid-latitude trough coming for him, he is expected to strengthen due to good divergence aloft before his demise. NHC has Sebastien peaking at 60-65kts as it goes extra-tropical in about 48hrs. Wouldn't be surprised if he strengthened to a hurricane before the cold front and cooler waters temper and absorb Sebastien.
Earthquakes have been on the rise the last two days With a few 5s yesterday, one in India and this one below in the Philippines. Earthquakes seemed to settle down a little til about 6 hours ago. Argentina was hit by two 5s followed by Chiapas, Mexico have three 6 plus magnitude shakes.
BUKIDNON PHILIPPINES EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE 5.9•Nov 19, 2019
A MAGNITUDE 5.9 WAS FELT IN BUKIDNON PHILIPPINES NOVEMBER 18, 2019
Tropical Storm Raymond Putting on a Scary Face for Mexico
Looking a little like a human skull on a fish body we now have Tropical Storm Raymond in the East Pacific. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RAYMOND. He is forecast to strengthen to about 60kts in the short term as he tracks NNW. Then should slow down and gradually weaken.
Venice Floods Second Time in a Week
High tide today in Venice brought it's second severe flooding event this week. This morning it came out in social media that Tuesday evening the chambers of the Veneto Regional Council in Venice, Italy was overcome by flood waters for the first time in history just minutes after the majority League, Brothers of Italy and Forza Italia failed to change the amendments to recognize and combat climate change.
Venice isn't the only place flooding in that region. The United Kingdom has suffered it's wettest summer in some spots and it has yet to relent. After heavy rain fell all week and more now expected this weekend, the historic town of Stratford-on-Avon is taking action to save history surrounding William Shakespeare, including the Royal Shakespeare Theatre which is located on the banks of the Avon River as well as his funerary monument nearby.
UK weather: 1,200 homes evacuated due to floods and temperatures set to drop
•Nov 15, 2019
More than 100 flood warnings remain in place across the UK with further rain forecast across the weekend.
Bonus Link: Sew True %60 off end of season seed sale. Just cooling off enough in Florida to plant some of these.
Rain For the Southeast
No organized thunderstorms are expected with this mass of moisture over the Southeast. Planted some winter fare in front of the rain at the full moon: snow peas, lettuce, swiss chard and kohlrabi.
Fengshen is affecting the Northern Mariana Islands. The storm is expected to head farther north and then may travel is a smaller loop. It currently appears stronger than forecast.
Why NASA is sending rockets into Earth’s leaky atmosphere•Nov 14, 2019
NASA scientists are seeking a strange breed of northern lights in the Arctic. When these auroras shine, Earth’s atmosphere leaks into space.
Follow Sailing La Vagabonde and Greta on her adventure back across the Atlantic.
Weather Ahead for the Southeast
Watching for this storm to pull together a bit and cross over the southeast Thursday into Friday. Models have been split about how developed this becomes after.
Left is GEOS-5, doesn't look quite sub-tropical but looks possibly severe for coastal North Carolina. Right is GFS phase diagram. Shows the storm farther off shore til it reaches the Northeast and deepening all the way. NHC does not expect any tropical development over the Atlantic Ocean for the next five days.
93E May Develop and Move North
NHC is anticipating that this East Pacific storm will likely pull together over the next few days and are giving it a 70% chance to form in the next 2 days and an 80% chance to develop in the next 5 days. It is expected to move somewhat slowly to the north.
Ever wonder where a patch of earth was during different eras of our earth's long history? Plug your location into this interactive map to find out what earth looked like and where a place was up to 700million years ago at dinosaurpictures.org.
Big Waves at Nazare
Looked like the surfers had fun at Nazare in Portugal today. The tourists that lingered a little too close got in on the action as well.
Some areas along the Missouri River have remained underwater since the spring floods came last March. Lots of Flood Warnings in effect. It's been going on so long the Missouri DOT made a website to help direct traffic dealing with the flood.
Farmland remains underwater after historic flooding along Missouri River•November 12, 2019
Hundreds of thousands of acres of farmland remain underwater after historic flooding along the Missouri River this year.
More Rain Forecast
Models vary with the coming rain. A winter storm is set to effect the area this week. GEOS-5 starts out optimistic with a few drier months but shows spring rains 2020 coming once again with a vengeance.
Earthquake in France Felt From Lyon to Montpellier, Four Injured
Magnitude 5.4 Earthquake - France - Nov. 11, 2019
The quake, with a magnitude of 5.4, was felt in a vast area between the cities of Lyon and Montelimar which are about 150 kilometres (93 miles) apart, the national seismological office said. “I was leaning against the oven in my mother’s bakery when I felt the tremor,” said Victoria Brielle, a resident in Privas, some 25 kilometres from the quake’s epicentre. “A customer’s crockery toppled over and everything broke,” she said. Another resident in the area, Didier Levy, who lives in a 15th century castle, told AFP that “chandeliers were still trembling” several minutes after the quake. Levy, who said his dog starting barked even before humans felt the tremors, added: “I have never experienced anything like it, I could feel the trembling even though these walls are one metre thick.” One person was seriously hurt when a scaffolding collapsed, the regional governor’s office said. Three other people in the neighbouring Ardeche region were slightly injured, AFP reported. The regional governor’s office added that there was no serious damage recorded in any nearby buildings — and no damage at all at the nearby nuclear power plant of Tricastin. According to messages posted on social networks, a slight jolt was felt in Montpellier, Lyon, St Etienne, Grenoble, Avignon and Marseille.
Bulbul Death Toll Reaches Twenty-four.
The much feared Bulbul has take 12 each from India and Bangladesh. Most were killed by falling tress. Five remain missing after a fishing trawler sank near Bhola Island. The particularly vulnerable Bangladesh evacuated more than 2 million people in advance of the storm, to storm shelters. Enamur Rahman estimated 10,000 homes of mud, tin and bamboo along with 200,000 hectares (494,000 acres) of cropswere damaged.
Mercury Sun Transit Today
Mercury Passed in front of the Sun today. Had some fun gathering some pictures from SDO satellite. Astrologically this planetary set up causes people to look inward and get to know themselves better, a time when secrets tend to get exposed or buried. To see how this and the other celestial bodies out there are affecting your horoscope check here.